Now that everyone is quarantined because of the Covid-19, you have more than enough time to make a little bit fun with your loved one. That is, if you are huddled together. You would say: that’s a birth wave waiting to happen in 9 months. But is that really te case?
Horny or not?
PornHub showed that we’ve been watching porn en masse since the Corona outbreak. And some sex toy manufacturers are seeing sales increase right now. In addition, there is a worldwide shortage of condoms, now that one of the largest manufacturers has had to close its factory because of Covid-19. Add 1 and 1 together, and one would think that offspring will occur.
On the other hand, people now also have stress. They wonder if they can keep their jobs, or if they have any income at all in the near future? Moreover, there is a lot of uncertainty about the risks surrounding the disease. What are the chances that you will get sick, that you infect someone else and what are the consequences for your health? Not to mention the annoyance of constantly being in each other’s pockets. Stress is known to be a huge libido killer.
So what is it? Are we going to reproduce in quarantine out of boredom, or have we lost all sex drive?
What history tells us
Unfortunately, I don’t have a crystal ball with which I can predict the future. What is possible, however, is to look at the effect in the past on birth rates after major disasters or pandemics.
And then it turns out that it is likely that there will be a dip in the number of births. In 2018, a study was published that shows that stress and quarantine during famine, heat waves and the outbreak of infectious diseases such as Ebola, with high mortality rates, lead to fewer children being born 9 months later. Interestingly, it recovers about 10 to 11 months after everything has returned to normal. We also see that 10 to 11 months of recovery time in hurricanes, while the destruction lasts much shorter. Apparently that is the time it takes people to recover mentally from a disaster.
The research looked back to 1889, when there was a flu outbreak. But it is not limited to pandemics. The 1923 Tokyo earthquake also gives the same picture. And even the 9/11attack in New York shows a dip in birth rates. In fact, it has been researched that after the bubonic plague outbreak in 1300, there was a lower birth rate for as long as 50 years.
In addition to the stress and uncertainty, it may also play a role that it is simply not practical to give birth right now, while hospitals are overloaded and consultation centers only have telephone consultations. Although the corona virus cannot be transmitted to the unborn child, according to the World Health Organization, the possible risk of complications may also play a role in the consideration of not getting pregnant for the time being.
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